Methodology

How We Score Evidence

Overview#

Each question page includes an "evidence score" indicating the strength of available evidence. This page explains how we assign these scores.

Scoring Criteria#

We evaluate evidence on multiple dimensions:

Source Quality (0-30 points)

  • Peer-reviewed research: up to 30
  • Government/IEA data: up to 25
  • Industry sources: up to 15
  • Media reports: up to 10

Quantity of Evidence (0-25 points)

  • Multiple independent sources
  • Replication of findings
  • Geographic coverage
  • Time series data

Methodology Transparency (0-20 points)

  • Clear methods described
  • Data accessible
  • Assumptions stated
  • Limitations acknowledged

Recency (0-15 points)

  • Within past year: 15
  • 1-3 years: 10
  • 3-5 years: 5
  • Older: 0-3

Consensus vs. Debate (0-10 points)

  • Strong expert consensus: 10
  • Emerging consensus: 7
  • Active debate: 4
  • Highly contested: 2

Score Interpretation#

ScoreLabelMeaning
80-100StrongRobust evidence, high confidence
60-79ModerateGood evidence, reasonable confidence
40-59LimitedSome evidence, interpret with caution
0-39WeakLittle evidence, significant uncertainty

Limitations#

Evidence scoring is inherently subjective. Our scores reflect editorial judgment and should be considered alongside the underlying sources cited.

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